The risks of the project implementation of cloud storage have been assessed by experts, which may subsequently lead to financial costs: The next step is to construct a matrix of pairwise comparisons for expert assessments of each indicator of this matrix. Hierarchy for assessing the alternatives of the project The arrangement resources of teachers, unified storage and an operator in the cloud.įig.1. The arrangement resources of teachers and unified storage resources in the cloud The arrangement resources of teachers in the cloud In the first stage the following projects for the implementation of cloud storage at the university were selected: The subject of study is its financial and economic activities. Īs the university also acts on the rights of economic entity, the object of study of the enterprise is university. «AHP allows intuitive and efficient way to structure a complex decision problem into a hierarchy, compare and perform a quantitative assessment of alternative solutions». Wi - the weight of each priority in the line of pairwise comparison of criteria.įurther in the article a model for calculating the economic risks of the project «Implementation of cloud storage at the university», is presented, which was modelled using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), which was developed by American mathematician Thomas Saaty. Si - the sum of the priorities in the column of pairwise comparison of criteria This value Thomas Saaty named as consistency index (CI) which is used for the analysis of the consistency of estimates: The group assessment can be considered sufficiently reliable only when there is a good consistency of individual preferences of specialists. In case of participation in the survey of several experts discrepancies in their assessments are inevitable, but the magnitude of this difference should be taken into account. In assessing experts use the numbers, the probability of which is designated descriptively, with values ranging from «very unlikely» to «almost certain» that corresponds to the scale: 1- 3–5 - 7- 9. Method of expert judgments of risks is a complex of psychological and mathematical procedures of expert choice, its analysis and synthesis in order to develop rational decisions about the risks. Since risk is a category of probability, for its evaluation the judgments of experts are used. At this stage of development it is important to create an information system that allows to analyze the data presented on the basis of which the Manager can take this or that decision in addition to the qualities listed above. Automated Information System, which includes the ability to collect, store and process information has long ceased to be a novelty. The age of computer technology sets new demands and opportunities for the analysis of enterprise data. As was noted previously, management should be able to assess the financial and economic state of the enterprise, bring a risk assessment at a system level, and reduce the probability of loss from the realization of risks, thereby, improve the quality of corporate governance, the degree of confidence of investors and the public. ‒ Formal and informal methods of collection, processing, interpretation of financial information.įinancial and economic state is the most important criterion of business activity and enterprise reliability, determining its competitiveness and capacity for effective implementation of the economic interests of all economic actors. ‒ Assessment of the financial and economic condition of the company To ensure the effective operation in modern conditions the management should be able to realistically assess the financial and economic state of the enterprise, and the state of business partners and competitors. Keywords: economic risks, expert opinion, Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP, cloud storageĪn enterprise is the main element of the economic system of society. In order to show it we calculate the risks for the project of implementing cloud storage to the university. This article is intended to introduce the way of adapting the Analytic Hierarchy Process Method to the assessment of economic risks at the enterprise.
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